Nate Silver Proves 'Em Wrong by Getting Vote Right

New York Times Polling Geek Calls Election to Tee

Running the Table: Conspiracy theorists claimed New York Times poll guru Nate Silver was in the tank for President Obama. He shut them up with a sterling Election Day predicition.
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Running the Table: Conspiracy theorists claimed New York Times poll guru Nate Silver was in the tank for President Obama. He shut them up with a sterling Election Day predicition.

By Reuters

Published November 07, 2012.
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Silver’s status as the electoral sage has led him to be courted throughout the business and media worlds. “He’s at a level about four times as high as I am,” said Jack Bogle, founder of investment-management company the Vanguard Group.

The understated Silver is not especially social and definitely not schmoozy, says Colby Hall, the founding editor of Mediaite.com, which tracks media news. Like many Silver fans, Hall has been trying to cultivate a relationship with Silver with several years, with no luck.

“He relies on his track record,” Hall says. The nerdy shtick works in Silver’s favor. “If Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert are falling over themselves to talk to you, you are in the hippest/coolest/most-insidery group,” Hall says.

Even so, Silver’s methods have been criticized by political pundits, who detected a Democratic slant in his results, leading some to come up with so-called “unskewed polls” that showed Republicans winning handily.

Politico, a hub of news for D.C. wonks, skewered him as “over-rated” and wondered if a Romney win would turn Silver into a “one-term celebrity.” The New York Times own public editor criticized Silver for betting MSNBC host Joe Scarborough that President Obama would be re-elected.

Silver did not respond to phone and email requests for comment for this story. He has made no public comments since tweeting at 2:33 a.m. ET Wednesday morning.

He took to his Twitter account around 10 p.m ET last night to give one of his last messages of the 2012 campaign: “On the Wall, the Writing,” he wrote.


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