When Avigdor Lieberman Takes Your Idea

The Strategic Interest

By Yossi Alpher

Published March 25, 2009, issue of April 03, 2009.
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I’m no fan of Avigdor Lieberman. I find his gutter rhetoric and talk of loyalty oaths repugnant. Still, I confess that there is one aspect of the criticism of Lieberman from which I dissent: his proposal to adjust the 1967 Green Line border within the framework of a two-state solution so that certain Israeli Arab villages and towns become part of a future Palestinian state. After all, I first proposed the idea.

I did so back in 1994, in a study published by the Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies on borders and settlements in final-status negotiations. The compromise two-state solution map I drew then (which does not deal with Jerusalem) attaches the major West Bank settlement blocs that are near the Green Line to Israel. That concept has been the basis for Israeli-Palestinian negotiations ever since, just as it dictates the current route of the West Bank security fence.

Moving the Green Line to encompass the settlement blocs raises the question of compensating the Palestinians territorially. Even in 1994, before final-status talks had begun, it was clear that the Palestine Liberation Organization would not budge from its narrative that sanctifies the pre-1967 borders as the basis for any agreement. Thus, if we want an agreement, any West Bank land annexed by Israel would have to be balanced by appropriate compensation, probably in the form of land from within pre-1967 Israel. I suggested Israeli lands in the Wadi Ara and Triangle regions, all adjacent to the Green Line and populated overwhelmingly by Arab citizens of Israel, as one of several swap options.

My reasoning predated Lieberman’s: Israeli Arabs increasingly reject Israel’s identity as a Jewish state and insist on a Palestinian national identity; Israel has a right and an obligation to protect its Jewish identity at the demographic level (as Hebrew University demographer Sergio DellaPergola argued on these pages last week). Interestingly, the Israeli areas in question were only attached to Israel toward the conclusion of armistice talks with Jordan in 1948 and 1949. At the time, Israel threatened to renew the fighting unless Jordan ceded the lands, with their Arab population, because they sat on high ground that guarded the coastal strip and linked it with the Galilee. Back in 1948, geography was the dominant strategic consideration. Today it is increasingly demography: Israel would have no problem defending itself against a demilitarized Palestinian state in the West Bank, no matter where the border is fixed.

Border alterations that change the nationality of a slice of territory and its population were done all the time in Europe after its wars: Alsace-Lorraine and Transylvania come to mind. This is not the justifiably maligned “transfer” concept, in which a population is uprooted and forced to migrate (also a postwar European solution, e.g., the Germans expelled from Poland and Czechoslovakia). This is attaching ethnic Palestinians, with their land and homes, to the Palestinian state.

There is, however, one likely problem, as I quickly realized after proposing the idea and as Lieberman — a West Bank settler who, to his credit, supports a two-state solution — prefers to ignore. While a sizable minority of Israel’s Arab citizens supports the idea of becoming Palestinian citizens, the majority opposes it vehemently. Some sincerely prefer Israeli democracy and the Israeli standard of living to taking their chances in a sovereign Palestinian state. Others perhaps insist on remaining Israelis living in Israel in the hope that, over the long term, they will contribute to the demographic overwhelming of Jews by Arabs. Whatever their reasons, they would undoubtedly appeal a decision to move the border and “Palestinize” them to Israel’s High Court of Justice.

And the High Court, in this age of collective and individual human rights, would almost certainly rule that no citizen of Israel can be deprived of his or her citizenship by an arbitrary act of state. This is entirely fitting. This is what makes Israel an enlightened country. (Lieberman, by the way, would prefer to neutralize precisely these review powers of the High Court; this is perhaps his most dangerous design.)

Still, there are ways in which a two-state solution can be used to alleviate the Arab demographic threat to Israel without violating fundamental human rights. Certainly Israeli Arabs can be given the option of adopting Palestinian citizenship and renouncing Israeli citizenship even if they choose to live out their days in Israel. As DellaPergola pointed out, the 250,000 Arabs of East Jerusalem, who in any case are not for the most part Israeli citizens, would be removed from the demographic balance by a mere restoration of the 1967 border. And the Green Line border can be moved in the Wadi Ara and Triangle areas, while allowing area residents to keep their citizenship, conceivably with provisions that those who do not exercise their right to move back into Israel but insist on retaining Israeli citizenship cannot pass it on to children born in Palestine.

These are promising ideas. Let’s not let Lieberman give them a bad name.

Yossi Alpher is former director of the Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies at Tel Aviv University. He currently co-edits the bitterlemons.org family of Internet publications.


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Comments
uzi silber Fri. Mar 27, 2009

despite the contentions of Alpher and his Rebbi Shimon Peres, geography is just as vital as demography. During Gulf War I, the US air-force bombed Iraqi forces in Kuwait for weeks, but they never budged. It took a land invasion by US ground forces to finally push the Iraqis out of Kuwait. Likewise, if Israel reverts to what Aba Eban called Aushwitz borders where at 9 miles israel would have a narrower waist than Manhattan's length (14 miles) then geography would certainly matter -- israel could be sliced in two oh-so rapidly. And lets not forget that during the Yom kippur War, sitting on the Golan Heights made all the difference to Israel between victory and defeat.

Danny Seigel Fri. Mar 27, 2009

Unfortunately this proposal seems to good to be true. What would be the purpose of swapping the land if the Arabs wouldn't go with them? How do we know this will satisfy Palestinian national aspirations? How can a demilirtarized state be ensured or that terrorism will cease so that Israel's security concerns will be answered? Indeed 2 posters are this sight argued this plan is racist and the state of Israel is racist. One said the Jews must leave the middle east. The other said that only a return to the pre 6day war lines would pass as remotely just and that the idea of a Jewish state is anachronistic. I am not optomistic that Israel will be able to achieve a peaceful accomodation with the Palestinians and maybe a 3 state solution with Jordan and Egypt--basically the idea of the Allon Plan is the best alternative for both Arab and Jews.

Gary A. Glaser Fri. Mar 27, 2009

If you find talk of loyalty oaths repugnant, what are you doing during the pledge of allegiance to the US flag, which occurs regularly throughout the US in many situations.

Danny Seigel Fri. Mar 27, 2009

Gary You're right and you wont have an argument from me. I am passionately Zionistic but I appreciate that most Arabs living in Israel do not identify with the national symbols like Hatikva. I suppose I am sensitive to minorities having been one myself. I think there are other ways you can measure good citizenship without being 'in your face'. I guess some of those ways would be productive activity such as volunteer national civil service for Israeli Arabs. I do agree with Alper that trading populations is a practical solution. Further given the heightened tensions and growing anymosity and suspicion of Jews and Arabs it might be necessary to seperate the 2 populations.Even if there were to be land swaps many Arabs would still live in Israel. I would hope they could enjoy civi rights and demonstrate their loyalty by peaceful coexistence,participation in the democracy, adherence to the law, rooting for Macabbi basketball and if a few wouldn't mind buying my chometz... As they say on Jdate is that asking too much?

David Mon. Mar 30, 2009

Gary, There is no loyalty oath required of US citizens in order for them to retain their citizenship, especially one that requires some ethnic or religious minority to take such an oath! Such an idea would, indeed, be repugnant.

Danny Seigel Mon. Mar 30, 2009

You and Gary both make valid points. I think it's important to consider the current political climate in Israel. Lieberman proposes trading populations in part because of Arab radicalism within Israel. Although Lieberman got a choice cabinet post he only received about 12% of the vote so I don't think this will be government policy. Trading populations has it's appeal but the Arabs won't go for it. I think most Israelis are pessimistic about peace prospects and are very concerned about Iran.

Giorgio S. Frankel Tue. Mar 31, 2009

To Uzi Silber. I really can't remember of any Arab army trying to slice Israel in two "oh-so rapidly", as Mr. Silber would say, before the June 1967 war, when the West Bank belonged to Jordan. As for the October 1973 war, I can easily remember that "[Israel's] sitting on the Golan", as Mr. Silber says, was just what induced the Syrians to attack after failing to recover their lost territory through political means. Best regards, Giorgio S. Frankel

Danny Seigel Tue. Mar 31, 2009

Giorgio Why did Syria initiate the Six Day War? Why did the Arabs reject negotiations after the war? Why should Israel give up strategic ground to Syria? Never mind the Syrians alliances with Hamas and Iran or their opposition to the state of Israel, why would you side with a tyrant who controls his population by force? Best Regards






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