Skip To Content
JEWISH. INDEPENDENT. NONPROFIT.
Fast Forward

Muslims Will Replace Jews As America’s Second-Largest Religious Group By 2040

The Muslim religious population in the United States will be larger than the Jewish religious population by 2040, according to a new study by the Pew Research Center.

Earlier this year, Pew estimated that are currently 3.45 million Muslims by religion of all ages in America, around 1.1% of the U.S. population. In 2013, Pew estimated that there were 6.7 million Jews of all ages in America, though only 4.2 million adults who identify as “Jews by religion” (that number does not include children or “Jews of no religion,” such as atheists or non-affiliated people raised by a Jewish parent).

By 2050, Pew said, the population of “Muslims by religion” will reach 8.1 million, or 2.1% of the U.S. population.

Pew said in its latest that the rise in the Muslim population would be driven by American Muslims’ relatively high birthrates, as well as the continued migration of Muslims to the United States (although changes in immigration policy could affect those numbers).

In addition to higher birthrates than Jews, Muslims appear to be less likely to marry outside the faith: Only 13% of Muslims have a non-Muslim spouse, compared to 36% of Jews having a non-Jewish spouse.

Update, January 8: The original version of this article compared Pew’s survey of self-identified “Muslims by religion” with a Jewish population that included both “Jews by religion” and “Jews of no religion.” It has been updated to more accurately compare the Muslim and Jewish populations.

Contact Aiden Pink at [email protected] or on Twitter, @aidenpink

I hope you appreciated this article. Before you go, I’d like to ask you to please support the Forward’s award-winning, nonprofit journalism during this critical time.

Now more than ever, American Jews need independent news they can trust, with reporting driven by truth, not ideology. We serve you, not any ideological agenda.

At a time when other newsrooms are closing or cutting back, the Forward has removed its paywall and invested additional resources to report on the ground from Israel and around the U.S. on the impact of the war, rising antisemitism and the protests on college campuses.

Readers like you make it all possible. Support our work by becoming a Forward Member and connect with our journalism and your community.

Make a gift of any size and become a Forward member today. You’ll support our mission to tell the American Jewish story fully and fairly. 

— Rachel Fishman Feddersen, Publisher and CEO

Join our mission to tell the Jewish story fully and fairly.

Republish This Story

Please read before republishing

We’re happy to make this story available to republish for free, unless it originated with JTA, Haaretz or another publication (as indicated on the article) and as long as you follow our guidelines. You must credit the Forward, retain our pixel and preserve our canonical link in Google search.  See our full guidelines for more information, and this guide for detail about canonical URLs.

To republish, copy the HTML by clicking on the yellow button to the right; it includes our tracking pixel, all paragraph styles and hyperlinks, the author byline and credit to the Forward. It does not include images; to avoid copyright violations, you must add them manually, following our guidelines. Please email us at [email protected], subject line “republish,” with any questions or to let us know what stories you’re picking up.

We don't support Internet Explorer

Please use Chrome, Safari, Firefox, or Edge to view this site.