Skip To Content
JEWISH. INDEPENDENT. NONPROFIT.
Make a Passover gift and support Jewish journalism. DONATE NOW
Forward 50 2017

Richard Thaler

The Predictably Irrational Economist

Economists long believed that people were rational actors — that they would spend their money in the most efficient way possible. However, Richard Thaler, along with fellow Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman, was one of the few researchers willing to question that orthodoxy. Thaler’s creativity in pursuit of the truth led him to help found the field of behavioral economics, for which he was awarded the 2017 Nobel Prize in economics.

But Thaler’s critical attitude did not make him a particularly promising student. His thesis adviser wrote, “We did not expect much of him.”

Thaler discovered that humans are irrational — though they perform in predictable ways. He coined the “endowment effect,” after observing that people overvalue things they already own. And he investigated “mental accounting” to explain why people spend money in their checking accounts differently than money in savings.

His influential 2008 book “Nudge,” co-written with Cass Sunstein, proposed using behavioral economics to influence behavior — for instance, charging a plastic bag fee to spur people to go green and setting up retirement plans as opt-out rather than opt-in. “If you have a 401(k) plan at work, there’s a good chance that you’re saving more for retirement because of Richard Thaler,” Bloomberg News wrote. The British government even created a “nudge unit” to help save government money.

Thaler, 72, has applied his research to everything from gas station pricing to the National Football League draft, and he had a memorable cameo in the movie “The Big Short.”

When asked how he planned to spend the Nobel’s $1.1 million prize, Thaler responded, “I will try to spend it as irrationally as possible.”

This is a moment of great uncertainty. Here’s what you can do about it.

This is a moment of great uncertainty for the news media, for the Jewish people, and for our sacred democracy. It is a time of confusion and declining trust in public institutions. An era in which we need humans to report facts, conduct investigations that hold power to account, tell stories that matter and share honest discourse on all that divides us.

With no paywall or subscriptions, the Forward is entirely supported by readers like you. Every dollar you give this Passover is invested in the future of the Forward — and telling the American Jewish story fully and fairly.

The Forward doesn’t rely on funding from institutions like governments or your local Jewish federation. There are thousands of readers like you who give us $18 or $36 or $100 each month or year.

Support our mission to tell the Jewish story fully and fairly.

Republish This Story

Please read before republishing

We’re happy to make this story available to republish for free, unless it originated with JTA, Haaretz or another publication (as indicated on the article) and as long as you follow our guidelines.
You must comply with the following:

  • Credit the Forward
  • Retain our pixel
  • Preserve our canonical link in Google search
  • Add a noindex tag in Google search

See our full guidelines for more information, and this guide for detail about canonical URLs.

To republish, copy the HTML by clicking on the yellow button to the right; it includes our tracking pixel, all paragraph styles and hyperlinks, the author byline and credit to the Forward. It does not include images; to avoid copyright violations, you must add them manually, following our guidelines. Please email us at [email protected], subject line “republish,” with any questions or to let us know what stories you’re picking up.

We don't support Internet Explorer

Please use Chrome, Safari, Firefox, or Edge to view this site.