BY THE NUMBERS: How the Jewish Vote Impacts Pennsylvania and Ohio by the Forward

BY THE NUMBERS: How the Jewish Vote Impacts Pennsylvania and Ohio

As the race tightens in key states on election night, the Jewish vote becomes more important in swing states such as Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Though Jews make up a small percentage of the population, over 80% of eligible Jewish voters typically show up to the polls in presidential election years (the average voter turnout rate is closer to 60%) and contribute half of all donations to the Democratic Party.

Earlier today, the Forward analyzed four key heavily Jewish counties in Florida which have historically had an outsized impact on the outcome of presidential elections.

In Pennsylvania, Jewish voters are more likely to support Clinton and could tip the balance of three counties in a close election. In Allegheny, Bucks, and Montgomery counties, collectively home to 2.7 million of the state’s Jews, only 43.2% of the population are registered Democrats according to recent research by the Steinhardt Social Research Institute — but on average, 58.6% of Jewish voters are registered as Democrats.

While Trump could still win the presidential race while losing Pennsylvania, if he also loses either Georgia or Arizona, “the door would effectively be closed.”

How Jewish voters will impact the race in Ohio is less clear. Just 55.5% of Jewish voters registered in Cuyahoga, Geauga, and Lake counties are registered Democrats, compared with 44.3% of overall registered voters in the counties. Cuyahoga, by far the largest county of the three, has gone to the Democratic nominee in all four of the last presidential elections. Geauga county has consistently voted for the Republican nominee and Lake county has narrowly gone to the Republican nominee in all but the 2008 election, when Obama garnered 49.45% of the vote.

Laura E. Adkins is the Forward’s contributing network editor. Contact her at or on Twitter, @Laura_E_Adkins.

This story "BY THE NUMBERS: How the Jewish Vote Impacts Pennsylvania and Ohio" was written by Laura E. Adkins.


Laura E. Adkins

Laura E. Adkins

Laura E. Adkins is the Forward’s Deputy Opinion Editor and runs Scribe, the Forward’s Contributor Network. She holds a B.A. in Economics from NYU and grew up in Southwest Missouri. She writes about data, orthodoxy, kosher wine and builds interactive maps — though usually not all at the same time. Contact Laura at, like her page on Facebook, or follow her on Twitter.

Your Comments

The Forward welcomes reader comments in order to promote thoughtful discussion on issues of importance to the Jewish community. All readers can browse the comments, and all Forward subscribers can add to the conversation. In the interest of maintaining a civil forum, The Forward requires that all commenters be appropriately respectful toward our writers, other commenters and the subjects of the articles. Vigorous debate and reasoned critique are welcome; name-calling and personal invective are not and will be deleted. Egregious commenters or repeat offenders will be banned from commenting. While we generally do not seek to edit or actively moderate comments, our spam filter prevents most links and certain key words from being posted and the Forward reserves the right to remove comments for any reason.

Recommend this article

BY THE NUMBERS: How the Jewish Vote Impacts Pennsylvania and Ohio

Thank you!

This article has been sent!